Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 506.691436 538.640819 571.828997 608.935837 649.335843 692.064825 740.774023
2025-12-28 463.568992 507.216112 554.345765 609.220557 671.612140 740.642488 823.207735
2026-01-04 436.023849 486.531402 542.537645 609.620566 688.279796 778.197701 889.639047
2026-01-11 416.340624 472.161788 535.443214 613.070168 706.520989 816.415038 956.950906
2026-01-18 398.605455 458.270425 527.188316 613.475986 719.751790 847.874267 1016.364027
2026-01-25 385.904753 449.190216 523.545648 618.405560 737.740408 885.003706 1083.881701
2026-02-01 375.091002 441.526277 520.802347 623.699410 755.713806 922.229071 1152.856401
2026-02-08 366.038469 435.362151 519.284796 629.986505 774.675670 961.031192 1225.511425
2026-02-15 355.391596 426.594964 513.902465 630.745418 786.040951 989.899632 1285.796428
2026-02-22 345.627406 418.421595 508.748748 631.281699 796.737472 1017.908514 1345.959781
2026-03-01 337.745190 412.240518 505.746422 634.271344 810.525671 1050.385232 1413.919332
2026-03-08 328.751849 404.223489 499.939682 633.080216 818.261217 1074.450267 1470.598626
2026-03-15 321.013560 397.577436 495.676298 633.757315 828.542982 1102.528409 1534.935281
2026-03-22 313.531771 390.969123 491.149603 633.756595 837.663258 1129.100336 1598.277533
2026-03-29 306.724836 384.987522 487.178524 634.236471 847.284931 1156.589032 1664.397625
2026-04-05 301.494468 380.910022 485.577433 637.862540 861.448770 1191.297528 1743.943535
2026-04-12 295.434394 375.488768 481.900393 638.292652 870.758202 1218.860361 1813.318326
2026-04-19 291.367275 372.630414 481.613825 643.490752 887.262833 1258.133410 1904.575104
2026-04-26 287.646272 370.105013 481.655492 649.074342 904.451292 1299.150557 2001.407057
2026-05-03 284.456946 368.193641 482.449183 655.706542 923.405827 1343.772536 2107.493690
2026-05-10 279.560306 363.735319 479.449218 656.507200 933.183576 1373.793891 2189.376008
2026-05-17 274.821707 359.356587 476.404165 657.072987 942.509246 1403.367730 2272.309035
2026-05-24 271.085946 356.286064 475.129058 660.227286 956.008324 1440.472295 2371.823859